It will be a battle between Southwest Division opponents when the Dallas Mavericks (7-20) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (19-8) to American Airlines Center. The game will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 12, 2017.
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction
The last time the Spurs played, they beat the Phoenix Suns, 104-101. San Antonio’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Spurs had 18 offensive rebounds and 52 total rebounds, while the Suns had 10 and 40, respectively. San Antonio was lifted by LaMarcus Aldridge, who finished with 20 points and nine rebounds.
The Mavericks lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing, 97-92. Minnesota’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Dallas. The Timberwolves had a rate of 0.250 (above their season average of 0.233), while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.086 (below their season average of 0.178). Dallas’ Harrison Barnes had a good game, leading the team in scoring with 19 points on 8-for-15 shooting.
The ineffective offense of Dallas will go head-to-head against the elite defense of San Antonio. The Mavericks currently rank 27th in offensive efficiency, while the Spurs are second in defensive efficiency. The Spurs should have the advantage on that end of the court.
San Antonio heads into the game with records of 19-8 straight up (SU) and 14-11-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Spurs’ 27 games, 15 have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Dallas owns records of 7-20 SU and 12-15 ATS. Much like San Antonio, just over half of Mavericks games have finished under the O/U total.
The Spurs have emerged victorious in both matchups against the Mavericks this year, including a seven-point victory in their last matchup. San Antonio was unable to cover as a 9-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 223 points, which was 29 points above the projected point total of 194 points. The Spurs made 19 of their 21 free throws (90.5 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (9.9 vs. 10.6). Aldridge put up a double-double in the victory with 33 points and 10 rebounds.
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Antonio is 4-7-1 ATS with 9 unders, 2 overs and 1 push.
At home, Dallas is 6-9 ATS with 7 overs, 7 unders and 1 push.
Dallas is 6-6 when they allow below 100 points, while San Antonio is 11-4.
When reaching the century mark, the Spurs are 14-0 and the Mavericks are 5-8.
San Antonio ranks second in blocks per game (6.1) while Dallas ranks 26th (3.7).
The Spurs rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (40.9) while the Mavericks rank 27th (46.1).
Dallas ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (32.2) while San Antonio ranks 26th (24.9).
The Spurs rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.2) while the Mavericks rank 27th (9.8).
San Antonio ranks 16th in fast break points allowed per game (11.3) while Dallas ranks 27th (14.1).
The Mavericks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.1) while the Spurs rank 11th (42.3).
San Antonio ranks 19th in points off turnovers per game (15.9) while Dallas ranks 28th (13.9).
The Spurs rank 20th in steals per game (7.4) while the Mavericks rank 27th (6.7).
San Antonio averages 22.9 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Dallas ranks 14th in assists allowed per game (22.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
Dallas is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.6, down from 3.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 98.0 points per game (5.5 below their season average).
