The San Antonio Spurs (43-30) head to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks (38-34) in a game that will likely be low scoring. The game can be seen on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 25, 2018.
San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction
In the Spurs’ last contest, they beat the Utah Jazz, 124-120. San Antonio’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Spurs had 11 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Jazz had five and 34, respectively. With 45 points on 19-for-28 shooting, LaMarcus Aldridge was the game’s leading scorer.
The Bucks were victorious over the Chicago Bulls in their last matchup, 118-105. Milwaukee’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Chicago. The Bucks had a rate of 5.0 (better than their season average of 12.5), while the Bulls posted a mark of 12.6. Shabazz Muhammad was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points on 9-for-12 shooting.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Milwaukee currently ranks 26th in possessions per game (97.5) and San Antonio is 29th (96.8).
San Antonio holds records of 43-30 straight up (SU) and 38-31-4 against the spread (ATS). Spurs games have a slight tendency to finish under the total (54.8 percent).
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 38-34 SU and 29-38-5 ATS. Of the Bucks’ 72 games, 38 have finished over the O/U total.
Aldridge has averaged 29.6 points, 9.0 rebounds and 1.4 blocks over the last five games for San Antonio.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Giannis Antetokounmpo scored a game-high 28 points and the Bucks beat the Spurs 94-87, covering as 4.5-point underdogs. He also recorded 12 rebounds and five assists. The game finished with a total of 181 points, which was 22.5 points below the projected point total of 203.5 points. The Bucks had a much better turnover percentage (12.0 vs. 17.5) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.4 vs. 20.0).
San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Antonio is 15-18-3 ATS with 22 unders, 13 overs and 1 push.
Milwaukee is 11-23-3 ATS at home with 19 overs, 17 unders and 1 push.
Milwaukee is 16-5 when they allow under 100 points, while San Antonio is 29-10.
The Bucks are 32-18 when they score more than 100 points, while the Spurs are 33-10.
San Antonio ranks ninth in rebounds per game (44.3) while Milwaukee ranks last (39.4).
The Spurs rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.0) while the Bucks rank 29th (10.4).
Milwaukee ranks third in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while San Antonio ranks 20th (16.2).
The Bucks rank second in fast break points allowed per game (9.7) while the Spurs rank 17th (11.9).
Milwaukee ranks fourth in steals per game (8.6) while San Antonio ranks 18th (7.5).
The Spurs rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while the Bucks rank ninth (27.2).
Milwaukee averages 46.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the league. San Antonio ranks 12th in points allowed in the paint per game (43.5).
The Spurs rank 13th in assists per game (22.9) while the Bucks rank 17th in assists allowed per game (23.3).
Milwaukee averages 5.4 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. San Antonio ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Antonio is 5-0 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS with 5 overs over their last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.4, up from 3.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (12.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.8 points per game (13.5 above their season average).
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