San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves Odds
San Diego (+120) is coming into this one as the underdog against Atlanta (-130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-175) and Braves -1.5 runs (+155).
The Padres have gone 33-37 SU this year and are 35-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 7.2 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 39-28 SU and 36-29 ATS. They’ve gained 15.1 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Neither side has been an obvious over/under bet this season. Braves games have had an over/under record of 31-31-3 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 33-34-2.
Right-hander Tyson Ross will get the start for the visiting Padres. Ross is 5-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 78 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves will turn to righty Anibal Sanchez (2-0, 2.37 ERA), who has 26 strikeouts and 11 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.05. Sanchez only made one start against the Padres in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).
Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.41 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Atlanta offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .266/.291/.456 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Braves’ hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .344/.435/.590 with 14 home runs, 48 RBIs, 44 runs and six steals, and Markakis is batting .328 with eight homers, 44 RBIs and 41 runs.
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.90 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.18, along with a K-per-9 of 9.33.
Padres hitters have slashed .233/.300/.373 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .290/.370/.480 with nine home runs, 31 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Pirela is hitting .274/.324/.350 with zero homers, 19 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Padres have gained 3.8 units and are 27-21 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 10.9 units and are 27-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 22 that went under the total.
San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
San Diego has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. Atlanta has 19 XBH over its last five.
The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 13 over their last 10.
San Diego has posted 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.0 over its last five.
The Padres have won four of their last five games SU.
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