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San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Matchup 04/10/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres will take on their division rival Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The matchup begins at 8:40 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on ATRM and FSSD.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Colorado (-170) as the favorite over San Diego (+160). The total sits at 10 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for even money (+100). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rockies -1.5 runs.

The Padres are 3-8 SU and have gone 4-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline this year and 4.0 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Rockies are 5-6 SU and 5-5 ATS. The team has lost 0.7 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.9 units ATS. Colorado has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Colorado games have a 5-4-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 4-5-1.

The Padres have lost 1.0 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 1.6 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in two of those games, as opposed to two which went under the total.

Southpaw Joey Lucchesi (0-0, 2.79 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Padres. Lucchesi did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

The Rockies are rolling with lefty Tyler Anderson (0-0, 7.56 ERA) as their starter. Anderson recorded 81 strikeouts in 86 innings last year with only 26 walks. Anderson finished the season 6-6 overall with a 4.81 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He made two starts against San Diego a year ago and put up a 1-1 record with a 2.31 ERA and nine strikeouts.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 5.46 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In eight games against NL West foes, Rockies starters have an ERA of 5.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.60.

The Colorado offense has produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .205/.294/.361 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and second baseman DJ LeMahieu have led the Rockies’ offense so far. Blackmon is slashing .282/.391/.641 with 11 hits, six RBIs and nine runs scored, while LeMahieu’s line is .302/.400/.488 with 13 hits, four RBIs and five runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .331/.399/.601, Blackmon seemed to enjoy hitting left-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .412/.474/.745 over 114 such plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.78 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 6.48 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.28, along with a K-per-9 of 9.97.

Padres hitters have slashed .233/.301/.386 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production been led by shortstop Freddy Galvis and third baseman Christian Villanueva. Galvis is hitting .351/.455/.514 with 13 hits, five RBIs and three runs scored, while Villanueva is hitting .240 with six hits, three homers, six RBIs and four runs scored.

Galvis seemed to take a step back when hitting lefty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .242/.265/.295 across 98 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .253/.307/.377).

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Rockies have lost three of their last four games SU.

The San Diego defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Colorado over its last 10.

The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 14 over their last 10.

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