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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 08/24/18

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres are heading west to play their division rival Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Vegas is listing Los Angeles (-240) as the favorite over San Diego (+220). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over eight runs and +100 for under eight. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +100 for the Padres +1.5 runs and -120 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Dodgers are 67-61 straight up (SU) and 55-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 29.1 units for moneyline bettors and 17.8 units (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Padres have gone 50-80 SU this year and are 60-69 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 15.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 29.4 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Los Angeles games have a 60-63-5 over/under record in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 61-63-5.

The southpaw Clayton Richard is getting the nod for the visiting Padres. Richard is 7-10 with a 5.11 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Dodgers will send lefty Rich Hill (5-4, 3.73 ERA) to the hill. Hill has 98 punchouts and 35 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Hill is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.23, a WHIP of 1.13 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 54 divisional games, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.92.

Los Angeles’ offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.346/.379 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers’ batters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and right fielder Chris Taylor. Bellinger is hitting .258/.342/.465 with 20 home runs, 60 RBIs, 72 runs and 10 stolen bases, while Taylor’s line is .247/.322/.432 with 13 homers, 53 RBIs and 67 runs.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.18 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.39 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.48, along with a K-per-9 of 9.97.

The Padres offense has slashed .235/.300/.374 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .257/.320/.398 with 13 home runs, 54 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Galvis (.237/.294/.367) is up to 11 homers, 54 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 9.7 units and are 14-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 6.8 units and are 22-26 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, compared to 31 that went under the total.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

San Diego has logged 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Los Angeles has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Padres have lost three of their last four games SU while the Dodgers have dropped four of their last five.

San Diego has posted 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.6 over its last five.

The Padres have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 13 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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