The San Diego Padres will head east to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be airing this NL matchup.
San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-155) is favored over San Diego (+145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -150 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +130 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Padres have gone just 40-59 SU this year and are 46-53 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 23.6 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 53-42 SU and 42-53 ATS. The team has gained 10.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 19.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-5 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 40-50-5 thus far in 2018. San Diego has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 45-51-3.
Clayton Richard will get the start for San Diego. The southpaw Richard is 7-8 with a 4.43 ERA and 92 strikeouts. This is his first start against Philadelphia this year. He made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 0.60 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Jake Arrieta (7-6, 3.23 ERA), who has 72 punchouts and 33 walks, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Arrieta only made one start against the Padres in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.78 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.66, along with a K/9 of 9.55.
The Padres offense has slashed .232/.299/.368 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .249/.317/.397 with 10 home runs, 41 RBIs and 41 runs scored. Pirela (.261/.312/.355) has produced three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.72 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .231/.285/.312 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .275/.327/.460 with 16 home runs, 52 RBIs and 47 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line is .270/.378/.382 with eight homers, 31 RBIs, 63 runs and 14 steals.
The Padres have lost 0.1 units and are 36-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 28 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.1 units and are 10-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Padres have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
San Diego fielders have committed eight errors over their last five games, compared to five errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
The Padres have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit six over their last 10.
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