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San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers Free Pick 06/27/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres will be squaring off against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park. Fox Sports Southwest will broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 8:05 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers Odds

Texas (-130) is hosting this one as the favorite over San Diego (+120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -175 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +155 for the Rangers -1.5.

The Padres are 36-46 SU and are 40-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 13.2 units ATS. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 35-46 SU and 38-42 ATS. The team’s lost 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.4 units ATS.

Texas games have a 36-38-6 over/under record so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 37-42-2.

Clayton Richard will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The southpaw Richard is 7-6 with a 4.23 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rangers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.29 ERA and four strikeouts over seven innings).

The Rangers will turn to lefty Mike Minor (5-4, 5.06 ERA), who’s got 65 strikeouts and 19 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Minor did not record a start against the Padres in 2017.

Texas’ pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.33, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.7. The bullpen has a 3.69 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Texas hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .253/.328/.382 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Rangers’ batters have been led by Shin-soo Choo and Nomar Mazara. Choo is slashing .284/.393/.479 with 14 home runs, 37 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Mazara’s line sits at .278/.339/.472 with 14 homers, 51 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.56 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.52, along with a WHIP of 1.42.

The Padres offense has slashed .234/.300/.369 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela have led San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is hitting .271/.345/.438 with nine home runs, 35 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Pirela is hitting .260/.308/.349 with two homers, 25 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 5.5 units and are 9-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost 1.1 units and are 12-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to eight which went under the total.

San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of Texas’ last seven games.

Texas has recorded 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.

The Padres have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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