San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview 04/20/18

The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing host to the San Diego Padres at Chase Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be showing the matchup.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers have listed San Diego (+130) as the underdog to Arizona (-140). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over nine runs and -105 for under nine. Runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.

The Padres are only 7-13 SU and are 8-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 6.5 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 13-5 SU and 9-8 ATS. They’ve gained 8.0 units for moneyline bettors and 1.2 units ATS. Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have had an over/under record of 9-8 thus far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 10-9-1.

Tyson Ross will get the start for the Padres. The right-handed Ross is 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are going with righty Matt Koch (0-0, 0.00 ERA), who has three strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a 0.00 WHIP. Koch did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.38, a WHIP of 1.12 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.02, a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 9.0. In 15 games against NL West opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.31 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.36.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .209/.259/.417 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is slashing .254/.405/.540 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Peralta is hitting .349 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 11 runs.

Goldschmidt enjoyed hitting against righties at home last season, slashing .324/.430/.638 in 249 such plate appearances (his total season line was .298/.405/.560).

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.85 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 7.60 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.71, along with a K-per-9 of 10.01.

Padres hitters have slashed .225/.300/.379 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been powered by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Villanueva is slashing .340/.450/.780 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Hosmer (.264/.346/.444) has produced two homers, four RBIs and nine runs scored.

The Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to six that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.7 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to five that went under the total.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The Padres have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 14 over their last 10.

San Diego has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.4 over its last five.


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