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San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 09/03/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are trying to avoid losing their fourth in a row as they play host to the San Diego Padres at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the matchup and the game will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Arizona (-225) as the favorite over San Diego (+205). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (-105) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (-115).

The Diamondbacks are 74-63 straight up (SU) and 69-67 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, gaining 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.0 units (ATS). The Padres have gone 54-85 SU this year and are 66-72 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 15.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.4 units ATS.

Arizona games have a 60-70-6 over/under record in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 65-68-5.

Right-hander Bryan Mitchell is projected to start for San Diego. Mitchell is 0-3 with a 7.08 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are sending righty Zack Godley (14-7, 4.42 ERA) to the mound. Godley has 163 punchouts and 66 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Godley is 2-0 with 24 strikeouts and a 4.67 ERA across three starts against San Diego this year.

Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 3.72 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.2. In 61 divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.86 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.74.

Arizona’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .184/.240/.331 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Paul Goldschmidt has helped lead the Diamondbacks’ offense this season with 31 home runs, 78 RBIs and 84 runs scored.

For the visitors, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.11 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.49, along with a WHIP of 1.47 and a K/9 of 9.98.

The Padres offense has slashed .235/.299/.377 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Eric Hosmer has led San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .252/.316/.390 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

The Padres just lost a 7-3 game to the Rockies, while the Diamondbacks are coming off of a 3-2 loss against the Dodgers.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of San Diego’s last seven games.

The Padres have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

San Diego has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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