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San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview 07/05/18

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will play host to their division rival San Diego Padres at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will showcase the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 9:40 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

San Diego (+135) is entering this one as the underdog to Arizona (-145) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +110 for the over and -130 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -160 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +140 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 48-39 straight up (SU) and 45-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units (ATS). The Padres have gone 37-51 SU this year and are 41-46 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.8 units for moneyline bettors and 19.9 units ATS.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 40-41-5 so far in 2018. The Padres have been a decent under bet with a total record of 39-45-3.

Eric Lauer will get the nod for the Padres. Lauer is 3-5 with a 5.08 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are handing the ball to righty Shelby Miller (0-2, 11.42 ERA), who has 11 strikeouts and three walks to his name, as well as a 2.08 WHIP. Miller only made one start against the Padres in 2017 (1-0, 1.23 ERA and five strikeouts across 7.1 innings).

Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.07 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.54, a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 7.8. In 33 games against divisional opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.10.

Arizona’s offense has put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .261/.333/.358 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

David Peralta has helped lead the Diamondbacks’ offense this season with 15 home runs, 46 RBIs and 38 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.64 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.70 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.52, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K-per-9 of 9.47.

The Padres offense has slashed .234/.300/.366 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

San Diego’s offense has been paced by Eric Hosmer. Hosmer is slashing .267/.343/.422 with nine home runs, 37 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks are coming off of an 8-4 loss against the Cardinals, while the Padres just lost a 4-2 game to the Athletics.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of San Diego’s last seven games.

The Padres have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit four over their last 10.

San Diego has recorded 19.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.

The Padres have dropped five of their last six games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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