The San Diego Padres are ready to play the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be airing this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
The Padres are 34-39 SU and are 37-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.4 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 6.8 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 41-29 SU and 38-30 ATS. They’ve gained 15.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.5 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Neither side has positioned itself as an obvious over/under play this year. Braves games have had an over/under record of 32-33-3 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 34-36-2.
Matt Strahm will get the start for the visiting Padres. The southpaw Strahm is 1-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are putting the ball in the right hand of Julio Teheran (4-4, 4.31 ERA), who has 56 strikeouts and 33 walks this season as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Teheran is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.79 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.97 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.11, along with a K/9 of 9.39.
Padres hitters have slashed .234/.300/.374 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Outfielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer have paced San Diego’s hitters. Pirela is slashing .276/.327/.364 with 76 hits, 21 RBIs and 40 runs scored. Hosmer (.283/.360/.468) has produced 75 hits, nine homers, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.29 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.04 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .221/.277/.396 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is slashing .342/.433/.594 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs, 46 runs and six steals, while Markakis has produced a line of .321/.384/.480 with eight homers, 44 RBIs and 41 runs.
The Padres have gained 5.9 units and are 29-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 2.8 units and are 9-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to nine that went under.
San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Both offenses have logged 14 extra-base hits over their last five games.
The Braves have won four of their last five games SU.
Atlanta has posted 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.2 over its last five.
The Padres have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 13 over their last 10.
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