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San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick 08/21/18

Rockies vs Padres
Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

The streaking Colorado Rockies are seeking their fifth straight win as they play host to the San Diego Padres at Coors Field. The matchup begins at 8:40 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on both ATRM and FSSD.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds

San Diego (+170) is entering this game as the underdog against Colorado (-180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 10.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -130 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +110 for the Rockies -1.5.

The Padres have gone 49-78 SU this year and are 59-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.4 units for moneyline bettors and 29.3 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 68-56 SU and 66-58 ATS. The team has gained 14.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Colorado games have had an over/under record of 54-64-6 in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 61-61-5.

Southpaw Robbie Erlin will get the start for the visiting Padres. Erlin is 2-3 with a 3.33 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Colorado this year.

The Rockies are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Tyler Anderson (6-5, 4.39 ERA), who’s got 131 strikeouts and 51 walks to his name, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Anderson is 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.55 ERA over three starts against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.29, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 50 divisional games, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.23 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.66.

Colorado’s offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .260/.313/.387 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Rockies’ hitters have been led by shortstop Trevor Story and third baseman Nolan Arenado. Story is hitting .294/.350/.553 with 26 home runs, 84 RBIs, 65 runs and 17 stolen bases, and Arenado is batting .309 with 30 homers, 86 RBIs and 80 runs.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.19 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.38 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.48, along with a WHIP of 1.49 and a K-per-9 of 9.97.

The Padres offense has slashed .235/.301/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .259/.325/.398 with 12 home runs, 52 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Galvis is hitting .235/.294/.359 with 10 homers, 52 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 11.1 units and are 13-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 8.2 units and are 29-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 27 that went under.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Each offenses has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five games.

The Padres have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 11 over their last 10.

Colorado has averaged 22.6 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 24.0 over its last five.

The Rockies have won eight of their last nine games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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