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San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros Free Preview

John Glaser-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres are traveling east to take on the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. This interleague matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will televise the game.

San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros Odds

Houston (-125) is the favorite over San Diego (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at +230 for the Padres +1.5 runs and -255 for the Astros -1.5.

The Padres have gone 1-6 SU this year and are 2-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.8 units ATS. The Astros are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS. They’ve gained 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.8 units ATS.

Houston games have an over/under record of 3-4 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 4-1-1.

The Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in two of those games, as opposed to one that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 1.3 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in one of those games, compared to three that’ve cashed the under.

Luis Perdomo (0-1, 11.25 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Perdomo started 29 games last year and finished the season 8-11 overall with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP.

The Stros are turning to righty Lance McCullers Jr. (1-0, 3.38 ERA), who recorded 132 strikeouts across 118 innings last year (22 starts), while finishing the season 7-4 overall with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.

Houston’s pitching staff has given up 2.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.20, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.5. The bullpen has a 3.00 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

The Houston offense is putting up 5.9 runs per outing, including 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .316/.390/.523 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Astros’ batters have been led by shortstop Carlos Correa and left fielder Josh Reddick. Correa is slashing .474/.522/.947 with nine hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored, and Reddick’s line is .353/.450/.706 with six hits, six RBIs and four runs scored.

Reddick performed well against righty pitching at home last season. Across 209 such plate appearances, he slashed .364/.397/.561 (compared to his overall season line of .314/.363/.484).

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.40 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and 6.63 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 2.45, along with a WHIP of 1.61.

Padres hitters have slashed .220/.298/.390 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Cory Spangenberg and third baseman Christian Villanueva have led San Diego’s offense. Spangenberg is slashing .308/.357/.846 with four hits, three RBIs and two runs scored, while Villanueva is hitting .231/.286/.923 with three hits, three homers, five RBIs and four runs scored.

San Diego Padres at Houston Astros Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Padres and Astros did not face each other in 2017.

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Written by GMS Previews

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