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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 09/22/18

Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will go for their fourth consecutive victory when they play host to the San Diego Padres at Dodger Stadium. Fox Sports San Diego will showcase the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 9:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

San Diego (+240) is entering this game as the underdog against Los Angeles (-280) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (+115) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (-135).

The Dodgers are 85-68 straight up (SU) and 68-85 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 22.4 units for moneyline bettors and 17.1 units (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Padres are 61-92 SU and have gone 73-80 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 14.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 28.9 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Dodgers games have a 71-75-7 over/under record in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 74-74-5.

Jacob Nix will get the start for the Padres. The right-handed Nix is 2-3 with a 5.75 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Dodgers are sending lefty Rich Hill (9-5, 4.02 ERA) to the mound. Hill has 136 strikeouts and 41 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Hill is 1-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA across two starts against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.21, a WHIP of 1.12 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 67 games against NL West opponents, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 2.98 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.59.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .258/.373/.497 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Dodgers’ batters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and outfielder Chris Taylor. Bellinger is hitting .258/.342/.466 with 23 home runs, 71 RBIs and 81 runs scored, and Taylor is hitting .249 with 17 homers, 61 RBIs and 77 runs.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.51, along with a K/9 of 10.18.

The Padres offense has slashed .235/.299/.381 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production has been powered by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .251/.316/.399 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs and 71 runs scored. Galvis (.240/.293/.368) has produced 12 homers, 65 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 15.1 units and are 19-32 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 19.8 units and are 39-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 51 of those games, compared to 39 which went under the total.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in five of San Diego’s last seven contests.

The Padres have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

San Diego fielders have committed two errors over their last five games, compared to five errors for Los Angeles over its last five.

The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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