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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Betting Preview 06/21/18

Ed Szczepanski-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres are heading west to play their division rival San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The action will begin at 10:15 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego.

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

San Diego (+135) is entering this one as the underdog against San Francisco (-145) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 7 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -160 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +140 for the Giants -1.5.

The Padres have gone 34-42 SU this year and are 38-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 9.3 units ATS. The Giants, on the other hand, are 37-38 SU and 42-32 ATS. They’ve gained 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS.

Giants games have an over/under record of 38-34-2 thus far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 34-39-2.

Tyson Ross will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Ross (5-4, 3.51 ERA) has recorded 82 strikeouts in 82 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 0.75 ERA against San Francisco this year (two starts).

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Madison Bumgarner (0-2, 4.67 ERA), who has nine strikeouts and five walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Bumgarner hasn’t faced the Padres yet this year, but he made three starts against them in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record with a 3.80 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 36 divisional games, Giants starters have an ERA of 4.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.38.

San Francisco’s hitters have put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .213/.315/.344 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen have led the Giants’ hitters this year. Crawford is hitting .315/.370/.492 with eight home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and McCutchen’s line is .265/.347/.441 with eight homers, 34 RBIs and 41 runs.

In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.76 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.36, along with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K-per-9 of 9.34.

Padres hitters have slashed .233/.299/.370 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela continue to lead San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .281/.357/.460 with nine home runs, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored. Pirela (.269/.319/.353) has produced one homers, 23 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 2.5 units and are 9-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 2.1 units and are 26-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 23 that went under.

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in six of San Diego’s last seven games.

The Padres have dropped five of their last six games SU.

San Diego has posted 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.

The Padres have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit nine over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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