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San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Game Preview and Pick

James Shields (0-0, 3.00 ERA) and Madison Bumgarner (1-0, 1.29 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the San Diego Padres (2-3) and the San Francisco Giants (3-2) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 1-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:40 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 11 and can be seen on CSN-BAY and FSN-SD.

Shields pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out eight and walking two in a 6-3 defeat to the Dodgers. Yonder Alonso (.471 ) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one stolen base. When pitching against the Padres, Bumgarner is 6-4 with a 3.48 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 100 strikeouts. Buster Posey (.353 ) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Giants, going 2 for 2 yesterday.

San Francisco takes on San Diego as a -119 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at six runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -201 and a record as the underdog of 1-2. San Diego is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping five bases.

NL West rivals have had a tough time with the Giants when they’re ranked as the favorite. They have a 1-0 record as favorite and 3-1 SU. The Giants are tough outs for opponents, ranking second in the NL with 10.8 hits per game. San Francisco is excellent at drawing walks with 3.0 per road game, ranking fourth in the NL.

Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over

Notes

The Giants lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Padres are 1-1. The Giants are 2-2 in close games this season.

When the Giants play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Padres are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.

The Giants managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 1-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.

When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 1-1. The Giants have a 2-1 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 14th in runs, San Diego has earned 15 this season. San Francisco ranks 10th with 17 runs.

Ranking seventh, San Diego is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 14 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fifth with 15.

The Padres are 0-1 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Giants are 1-1 when they hit at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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