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San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview 06/11/18

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals are prepared to battle against the San Diego Padres at Busch Stadium. Fox Sports Midwest will be showing this NL matchup and the game gets going at 8:15 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Oddsmakers are listing St. Louis (-180) as the favorite over San Diego (+170). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -130 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +110 for the Cardinals -1.5.

The Cardinals are 35-28 SU and 30-32 ATS. The team has lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units against the spread (ATS). St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres are 31-36 SU and have gone 33-33 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 0.6 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 7.8 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

St. Louis games have an over/under record of 25-33-4 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 33-31-2.

The right-handed Jordan Lyles is the probable starter for the visiting Padres. Lyles is 2-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals will send righty Jack Flaherty (2-2, 3.20 ERA) to the mound. Flaherty has 42 strikeouts and 10 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Flaherty hasn’t faced the Padres yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.80 ERA and four strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

St. Louis’ offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .259/.328/.448 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ offense has been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is hitting .320/.391/.514 with nine home runs, 40 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Ozuna is hitting .278 with six homers, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.95 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.21, along with a WHIP of 1.50.

The Padres offense has slashed .234/.302/.375 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Pirela is hitting .276/.327/.354 with 71 hits, 19 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Hosmer is hitting .292/.375/.479 with 70 hits, eight homers, 30 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

The Padres have gained 2.1 units and are 25-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 0.9 units and are 22-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 26 that went under the total.

San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Padres have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 12 over their last 10.

St. Louis has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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