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San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview 06/12/18

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals are prepared to battle against the San Diego Padres at Busch Stadium. The game gets underway 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will showcase this NL matchup.

San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

The Padres are 31-37 SU and are 34-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 6.8 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 36-28 SU and 30-33 ATS. The team has lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS. St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 25-34-4 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 33-32-2.

Matt Strahm will get the nod for San Diego. The left-handed Strahm is 1-2 with a 3.07 ERA and eight strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals are sending righty Miles Mikolas (7-1, 2.27 ERA) to the mound. Mikolas has 58 strikeouts and nine walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. Mikolas is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA against San Diego this year.

St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.04 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

St. Louis’ hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .282/.342/.500 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna have led the Cardinals’ offense this year. Martinez is slashing .327/.397/.531 with 10 home runs, 42 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Ozuna is hitting .282 with seven homers, 34 RBIs and 26 runs.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.96 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.04 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.22, along with a K-per-9 of 9.32.

Padres hitters have slashed .233/.301/.373 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been powered by outfielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Pirela is slashing .275/.326/.353 with 71 hits, 19 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Hosmer (.287/.370/.471) is up to 70 hits, eight homers, 30 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

The Padres have gained 3.1 units and are 26-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 0.4 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to seven that went under.

San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Padres have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 14 over their last 10.

St. Louis has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.6 over its last five.

The Cardinals have won four of their last five games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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