The San Francisco Giants will be taking on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. FOX Sports South is in line to televise this NL matchup. The game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Odds
San Francisco (+140) is coming into this one as the underdog against Atlanta (-150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Runline odds stand at -155 for taking the Giants +1.5 runs and +135 for the Braves -1.5.
The Braves are 19-12 SU and 20-10 ATS. The team’s gained 12.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units against the spread (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Giants are 17-15 SU and have gone 20-11 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 4.2 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 8.1 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 14-13-3 so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 15-16.
Southpaw Ty Blach will get the start for the visiting Giants. Blach is 2-3 with a 4.10 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.35 ERA and five strikeouts over 7.2 innings).
The Braves will send righty Brandon McCarthy (4-0, 3.09 ERA) to the mound. McCarthy has 25 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. McCarthy only made one start against the Giants in 2017 (0-1, 7.27 ERA and seven strikeouts across eight and 2-third innings).
Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.29 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters are putting up 5.7 runs per contest, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .314/.371/.574 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .319/.431/.563 with five home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Markakis has produced a line of .333/.424/.545 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 21 runs.
Freeman didn’t do as well batting against lefties at home last year, slashing .222/.275/.397 across 69 such plate appearances (his total season line was .307/.403/.586).
In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.04 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.41 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.58, along with a K-per-9 of 8.09.
Giants hitters have slashed .246/.312/.389 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
San Francisco’s hitters have been powered by first baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Nick Hundley. Belt is slashing .299/.415/.567 with six home runs, 16 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Hundley (.326/.367/.609) has produced three homers, nine RBIs and 10 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .244/.272/.418, Hundley seemed to have a little trouble hitting righties last year, maintaining a slash line of only .214/.235/.349 across 200 plate appearances.
The Giants have lost 3.0 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 2.4 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under.
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Giants have won five of their last six games SU.
San Francisco has recorded 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.6 over its last five.
The Giants have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 18 over their last 10.
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