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San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins Free Pick 06/11/18

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins will play host to the San Francisco Giants at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will broadcast this NL matchup.

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins Odds

Vegas is listing Miami (+150) as the underdog to San Francisco (-160). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 or the under for +100. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Giants -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).

The Marlins are 23-42 SU and 32-32 ATS. The team’s lost 4.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units against the spread (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, have gone 33-32 SU this year and are 37-27 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 5.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.4 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Marlins games have had an over/under record of 32-32 so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 33-29-2.

Madison Bumgarner will get the nod for San Francisco. The left-handed Bumgarner is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 6.00 ERA and four strikeouts over six innings).

The Marlins will turn to lefty Wei-Yin Chen (1-3, 5.86 ERA), who has 26 strikeouts and 18 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.56. Chen did not record a start against the Giants in 2017.

As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.55 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.34 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .224/.309/.371 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ batters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .303/.377/.422 with three home runs, 30 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Castro is batting .289 with three homers, 24 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.66 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.83, along with a WHIP of 1.39.

Giants hitters have slashed .264/.326/.421 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen have paced San Francisco’s hitters. Crawford is hitting .338/.385/.536 with eight home runs, 30 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while McCutchen is hitting .260/.351/.433 with six homers, 29 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 5.3 units and are 15-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 0.3 units and are 10-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve cashed the under.

San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Giants have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.

Miami has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.

The Giants have won three of their last four games SU while the Marlins have lost three of their last four SU.

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