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San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Free Pick 09/17/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres will play host to their division rival San Francisco Giants at PETCO Park. The action will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego to catch the game.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Odds

Vegas has listed San Diego (-115) as the favorite over San Francisco (+105). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 or the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -200 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +170 for the Padres -1.5 runs.

The Giants are 70-80 SU and have gone 81-68 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 1.4 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 8.8 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 60-90 SU and 71-78 ATS. They’ve lost 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 29.4 units ATS.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 71-73-5 in 2018. San Francisco has been a strong under bet with a total record of 61-82-6.

Left-hander Andrew Suarez is the probable starter for San Francisco. Suarez is 6-11 with a 4.33 ERA and 121 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 2.13 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of righty Bryan Mitchell (1-3, 6.07 ERA), who has 27 strikeouts and 40 walks to his name, as well as a 1.84 WHIP. Mitchell is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.13 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.54 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 64 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.35.

San Diego’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .226/.302/.372 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Padres’ batters have been led by Eric Hosmer, who is slashing .250/.316/.401 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.91 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.17 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.61, along with a K-per-9 of 8.83.

Giants hitters have slashed .241/.305/.372 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Brandon Crawford has led San Francisco’s offense and is slashing .254/.319/.388 with 12 home runs, 51 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

The Giants just dropped a 3-2 game to the Rockies, while the Padres are coming off of a 7-3 win against the Rangers.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in just two of San Diego’s last seven games.

The Giants have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 14 over their last 10.

San Diego has recorded 18.8 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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