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San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick 08/18/18

David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will face off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast this NL matchup.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Oddsmakers are listing San Francisco (-130) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+120). The total sits at 8.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +115 for the Giants -1.5 runs and -135 for the Reds +1.5 runs.

The Giants are 61-62 SU and have gone 68-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.6 units for moneyline bettors and 12.9 units ATS. San Francisco’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 53-69 SU and 69-52 ATS. The team has lost 6.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.6 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Reds games have an over/under record of 64-53-4 in 2018. The Giants have been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-5.

Southpaw Madison Bumgarner is projected to start for the visiting Giants. Bumgarner (4-4, 2.71 ERA) has recorded 67 strikeouts in 79.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Reds will be sending righty Matt Harvey (5-7, 5.19 ERA) to the mound. Harvey has 84 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Harvey is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.15 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.21 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.61, along with a K/9 of 8.73.

Giants hitters have slashed .248/.314/.385 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford continue to lead San Francisco’s offense. McCutchen is slashing .257/.355/.417 with 14 home runs, 53 RBIs and 59 runs scored, while Crawford (.271/.342/.424) has produced 11 homers, 45 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.23, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.9 K/9.

The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .249/.309/.410 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ batters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .309/.359/.485 with 18 home runs, 70 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .287/.330/.394 with six homers, 39 RBIs, 63 runs and 18 stolen bases.

The Giants have gained 5.0 units and are 41-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 5.5 units and are 20-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in just two of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

Cincinnati has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.

The Giants have hit three home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit seven over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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