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San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick 09/09/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL showdown and the game is scheduled to get going at 2:10 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

San Francisco (+120) is entering this game as the underdog to Milwaukee (-130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Giants +1.5 runs (-175) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+155).

The Brewers are 81-62 straight up (SU) and 73-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.3 units (ATS). The Giants are 68-75 SU and have gone 77-65 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 1.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.1 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 69-69-4 in 2018. San Francisco has been a great under bet with a total record of 60-76-6.

Left-hander Madison Bumgarner is the projected starter for the visiting Giants. Bumgarner is 5-5 with a 3.07 ERA and 92 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are planning to start righty Zach Davies (2-5, 4.88 ERA), who has 38 strikeouts and 18 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.40 WHIP. Davies has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 0.00 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.97 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .221/.355/.357 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .316/.380/.558 with 28 home runs, 86 RBIs, 97 runs and 17 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .306/.398/.429 with 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 77 runs and 26 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.64, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 8.86.

The Giants offense has slashed .242/.306/.376 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been led by outfielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford. McCutchen is hitting .255/.357/.415 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Crawford is hitting .257/.326/.400 with 12 homers, 50 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

The Giants have lost 0.8 units and are 47-40 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.6 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 15 which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in five of San Francisco’s last seven games.

The Giants have lost eight of their last nine games SU while the Brewers have taken five of their last six.

San Francisco has posted 15.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.

The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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