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San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Preview and Pick

Jake Peavy (5-6, 4.41 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (72-68) meet Andrew Cashner (5-14, 4.11 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (67-74) in the first of a three-game division series at AT&T Park. The game gets underway at 10:15 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 11 and will air on CSBy and FSSD.

In his last start, Peavy pitched 5.2 innings, giving up three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 7-3 victory over the Rockies. Brandon Belt (.279, 66 Rs, 17 HRs, 63 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 3 Wednesday. The Padres were unsuccessful the last time Cashner pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out five and walking four in a 5-1 loss to the Dodgers. Matt Kemp (.271, 71 Rs, 21 HRs, 94 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.

San Francisco, a -134 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against San Diego. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Giants are 40-29 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -116. They have SU record of 3-7 and are unbeaten as the favorite (1-0) over their last 10 games. Don’t expect the San Francisco hitters to swing wildly in their own ballpark. They average an NL-low 6.7 strikeouts per home game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Giants are fourth in the NL in hits allowed with just 8.4 per game.

Switching gears, the Padres come into this game with a win percentage of .419 when playing as the underdog (31-43) and an overall money line of -893. Against teams in their division, they are 29-28 SU and 12-18 as the underdog.

The Giants have mostly come out on top against the Padres in their previous 13 games this season, earning a 7-6 record. The Giants will take on a right-hander (Cashner) in this game and have a 54-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Peavy will take the mound against the Padres, who have a 51-57 record against righty starters this season.

Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over

Notes

In their last game, the Padres lost by a margin of one run. The Giants are 16-23 in one-run games. The Padres have a 19-19 record in close games.

Having scored one run in their last game, the Giants are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Padres have an 18-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Giants are 5-45. The Padres have a 9-52 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 25th in home runs, San Francisco has hit 116 this season. San Diego ranks 18th with 131 home runs.

Ranking 13th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.37 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at second with 9.21.

Ranking 26th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.694). San Francisco ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .731.

When the Padres allow at least one home run, they are 36-53. When the Giants allow one or more homers, they have a 32-51 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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