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San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs Free Prediction 11/28/18

Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Logan Couture, Brent Burns, and the San Jose Sharks will do battle against Mitchell Marner, John Tavares, and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena for an East-West showdown. This one will get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28 and it is being shown live on Sportsnet.

San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Earning 5.5 units for moneyline bettors, Toronto is 17-8 straight up (SU) overall thus far. That win percentage, the NHL’s strongest so far in this young season, is an improvement compared to what the team did during the 2017-18 season (49-33). 13 of the team’s 25 contests have gone under the total, while nine have gone over and just three have pushed. Thus far, the team is 8-5 SU at home.

The Maple Leafs have connected on 24.2 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a figure that’s good enough for eighth-best in the league. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked 11th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 81.7 percent of all penalties.

Averaging 30.1 saves per game with a .932 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (13 wins, seven losses) has been the top goalkeeper for Toronto this season. If the Leafs, however, decide to rest him, the team may turn to Garret Sparks (4-1-1 record, .924 save percentage, 2.57 goals against average).

San Jose has lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors thus far and is currently 12-13 straight up (SU). A total of 14 of its games have gone over the total, while 10 have gone under the total and none have pushed. The Sharks are 4-8 SU as the visiting team this season.

The Sharks have converted on 20.7 percent of their power play chances this year, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked second overall and it’s successfully killed off 89.3 percent of all opponent power plays.

Martin Jones (24.7 saves per game) has been the main choice in goal for San Jose. Jones owns a 9-8-3 record, while registering a .892 save percentage and 3.00 goals against average this year.

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions

Free NHL Tip: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes

Over Toronto’s last ten outings, nine of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 6-3 in those games).

Power plays and penalty kills may be extremely important in this matchup. The Sharks are 7-6 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 8-9 in games where they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Maple Leafs are 6-3 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 14-8 when their penalty minutes are in the single digits.

The total has gone over in three of San Jose’s last five outings.

San Jose is ranked 10th this season with 8.0 giveaways per game. That figure has trended higher, as it’s averaged 9.2 giveaways over its last 10 games and 9.8 giveaways over its last five.

Toronto has averaged 17.2 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 12.1 giveaways per game (ranked 28th overall).

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