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Seattle Mariners at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview 08/26/18

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners are ready to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will showcase this interleague showdown and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Seattle Mariners vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Seattle (+175) is entering this game as the underdog to Arizona (-185) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -125 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +105 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 71-58 straight up (SU) and 64-64 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, gaining 4.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.7 units (ATS). The Mariners are 74-56 SU and have gone 65-64 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 13.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 3.8 units ATS.

Neither squad has positioned itself as a strong over/under bet this year. Arizona games have a 60-62-6 over/under record in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 64-63-2.

Right-hander Mike Leake is the projected starter for the visiting Mariners. Leake is 8-7 with a 3.90 ERA and 96 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 5.40 ERA and four strikeouts over five innings).

The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Zack Greinke (12-8, 3.06 ERA), who has 165 punchouts and 32 walks to his credit as well as a 1.05 WHIP. Greinke did not record a start against the Mariners in 2017.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.14, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 8.1.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .262/.335/.419 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is slashing .294/.398/.547 with 29 home runs, 73 RBIs and 81 runs scored, and Peralta’s line is .305/.363/.544 with 25 homers, 70 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.31 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.75 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

The Mariners offense has slashed .256/.317/.412 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger have led Seattle’s offense. The speedy Segura is hitting .316/.348/.437 with nine home runs, 58 RBIs, 80 runs and 19 stolen bases. Haniger (.280/.368/.485) has produced 22 homers, 83 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Mariners have gained 18.1 units and are 44-43 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 47 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 4.7 units and are 44-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve cashed the under.

Seattle Mariners at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in only one of Seattle’s last seven games.

Seattle has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.4 over its last five.

The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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