Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Seattle (+195) as the underdog to Houston (-215). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. Runline odds sit at -110 for taking the Mariners +1.5 runs and -110 for the Astros -1.5.
The Mariners have gone 65-48 SU this year and are 55-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.5 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 9.2 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 72-42 SU and 60-55 ATS. They’ve lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.1 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Astros games have had an over/under record of 50-59-6 in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 56-57-2.
The right-handed Mike Leake is projected to start for the visiting Mariners. Leake (8-7, 4.16 ERA) has racked up 86 strikeouts in 140.2 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with 11 strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Houston this year (two starts).
The Astros are putting the ball in the right hand of Lance McCullers Jr. (10-6, 3.93 ERA, 1.19 WHIP), who has 138 punchouts and 50 walks. McCullers Jr. is 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA over two starts against Seattle this year.
Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.00 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.05, a WHIP of 1.04 and a K/9 of 10.9. In 50 games against divisional opponents, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.08 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.99.
The Houston hitters have produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .243/.333/.491 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman have led the Astros’ hitters this year. Altuve is slashing .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Bregman’s line is .278/.383/.522 with 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 75 runs.
For the visiting squad, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.13 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.83 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 9.53.
Mariners hitters have slashed .255/.317/.408 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Seattle’s offensive production has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is slashing .305/.334/.429 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs, 73 runs and 16 steals, while Gordon is slashing .283/.303/.343 with one homers, 22 RBIs, 49 runs and 26 stolen bases.
The Mariners have gained 14.3 units and are 38-40 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 5.6 units and are 40-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 32 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve cashed the under.
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER
Seattle has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Houston has 22 XBH over its last five.
The Astros have won five of their last six games SU.
Seattle fielders have committed five errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for Houston over its last five.
The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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