Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (-250) is hosting this one as the favorite over Seattle (+225) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The game’s runline odds stand at +100 for picking the Mariners +1.5 runs and -120 for the Red Sox -1.5.
Both teams have been friendly to bettors this year this year. The Red Sox are 51-27 straight up (SU) and 43-34 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 12.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mariners have gone 47-30 SU this year and are 39-37 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 13.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 0.8 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 37-38-2 so far in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 40-35-1.
Marco Gonzales will get the start for Seattle. The left-handed Gonzales is 7-4 with a 3.80 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox will put the ball in the left hand of Chris Sale (6-4, 2.74 ERA, 0.94 WHIP), who has 140 strikeouts and 27 walks this season. Sale only made one start against the Mariners in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and 11 strikeouts across seven innings).
Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.16, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.7.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .295/.365/.437 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Red Sox batters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is hitting .326/.394/.642 with 23 home runs, 60 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Benintendi’s line sits at .295/.380/.530 with 13 homers, 50 RBIs, 55 runs and 12 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.07 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.90 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Mariners hitters have slashed .261/.325/.424 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Seattle’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. The speedy Segura is slashing .334/.359/.480 with six home runs, 44 RBIs, 52 runs and 14 steals, while Gordon is hitting .291/.313/.360 with one homers, 18 RBIs, 35 runs and 19 steals.
The Mariners have lost 1.3 units and are 13-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 2.8 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
Seattle has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 16 XBH over its last five.
Seattle has posted 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 games.
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