Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick 04/26/18

The Seattle Mariners will head east to Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Indians. SportsTime Ohio will broadcast this AL showdown and the game is scheduled to get going at 6:10 p.m. ET.

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Seattle (+105) is hosting this game as the underdog against Cleveland (-115) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -200 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +170 for the Indians -1.5 runs.

Mariners vs Indians

The Mariners have gone 13-10 SU this year and are 13-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.7 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 3.6 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 13-9 SU and 8-13 ATS. The team’s lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS.

Indians games have an over/under record of 7-14 so far in 2018. Seattle has been a decent over bet with a total record of 14-8.

Left-hander James Paxton is the probable starter for the visiting Mariners. Paxton is 1-1 with a 5.61 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and an 11.57 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians are sending righty Mike Clevinger (2-0, 1.75 ERA) to the mound. Clevinger has 17 strikeouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a 1.05 WHIP. Clevinger has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has yielded 3.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.78, a WHIP of 1.01 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.97, a WHIP of 1.01 and a K/9 of 9.5.

Cleveland’s hitters have produced 3.5 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.318/.463 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Indians’ hitters have been led by third baseman Jose Ramirez and left fielder Michael Brantley. Ramirez is hitting .265/.371/.542 with seven home runs, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Brantley’s line is .315/.339/.444 with 17 hits, eight RBIs and two runs.

Ramirez had a slight drop-off in production against lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .295/.340/.442 in 103 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .318/.374/.583).

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.64 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K/9 of 9.86.

The Mariners offense has slashed .250/.314/.414 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano have led Seattle’s hitters. Haniger is hitting .305/.372/.659 with eight home runs, 24 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Cano (.313/.439/.438) has produced two homers, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano appeared to enjoy hitting righties last season, putting up a slash line of .312/.371/.519 over 455 plate appearances.

The Mariners have lost 0.3 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to four that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 2.5 units and are 1-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in one of those games, compared to four that went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in only two of Seattle’s last seven games.

The Indians have won four of their last five games SU.

The Seattle defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Cleveland over its last 10.

The Mariners have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

*****

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