Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Odds
Vegas is listing Seattle (+180) as the underdog to New York (-190). The total sits at 7 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Mariners +1.5 runs (-125) and Yankees -1.5 runs (+105).
Each team has treated bettors well this year. The surprising Yankees are 49-22 straight up (SU) and 39-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them. The Mariners, on the other hand, have gone 46-28 SU this year and are 38-35 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 16.6 units for moneyline bettors and 1.2 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 31-36-3 so far in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 38-34-1.
Left-hander James Paxton is the probable starter for the visiting Mariners. Paxton (6-1, 3.53 ERA) has recorded 115 strikeouts in 91.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Yankees are putting the ball in the hands of righty Luis Severino (10-2, 2.09 ERA), who’s got 118 strikeouts and 25 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.93. Severino only made one start against the Mariners in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across seven innings).
Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.89 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.78, along with a WHIP of 1.22.
The Mariners offense has slashed .258/.322/.420 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon continue to lead Seattle’s hitters. The speedy Segura is slashing .334/.359/.480 with six home runs, 44 RBIs, 52 runs and 14 steals, while Gordon (.292/.312/.364) has produced one homers, 17 RBIs, 32 runs and 19 steals.
In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.75, a WHIP of 1.17 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.86, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 12.0.
The New York hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .274/.348/.512 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have led the way for the Yankees’ batters this year. Judge is hitting .281/.397/.558 with 18 home runs, 48 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Stanton’s line sits at .255/.329/.504 with 18 homers, 42 RBIs and 44 runs.
The Mariners have gained 17.8 units and are 25-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 8.7 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to 13 which went under the total.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER
Seattle has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 19 XBH over its last five.
The Yankees have won six of their last seven games SU.
New York has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
Each team has hit 17 home runs over its last 10 games.
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