The ice-cold San Diego Padres are trying to avoid dropping their sixth in a row as they play host to the Seattle Mariners at PETCO Park. The game will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be shown on RTNW and FSSD.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+125) is the home-team underdog against Seattle (-135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at +110 for betting the Mariners -1.5 runs and -130 for the Padres +1.5.
The Padres are 50-83 straight up (SU) and 62-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.1 units (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mariners are 74-57 SU and have gone 66-65 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 13.9 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 4.2 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither team has established itself as an obvious over/under play this year. Padres games have a 64-64-5 over/under record in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 64-65-2.
Right-hander Felix Hernandez is getting the nod for the visiting Mariners. Hernandez is 8-11 with a 5.64 ERA and 107 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jacob Nix (1-2, 6.17 ERA), who’s got seven punchouts and five walks, as well as a 1.63 WHIP. Nix did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.
San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 5.25 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.55 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
San Diego’s hitters have produced 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .239/.267/.380 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .252/.315/.390 with 13 home runs, 55 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Galvis is batting .242 with 11 homers, 56 RBIs and 48 runs.
For the visiting squad, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.33 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.96, along with a K/9 of 8.93.
Mariners hitters have slashed .256/.317/.410 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger continue to lead Seattle’s hitters. The speedy Segura is slashing .314/.345/.433 with nine home runs, 58 RBIs, 80 runs and 19 steals, while Haniger is hitting .281/.368/.486 with 22 homers, 83 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
The Mariners have gained 17.1 units and are 44-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 5.3 units and are 46-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 40 of those games, compared to 47 which went under the total.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Seattle’s last seven games.
The Mariners have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Seattle fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for San Diego over its last 10.
The Padres have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
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