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Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers: Week 15 Betting Pick

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco 49ers (+4.5) are set to greet their NFC West nemesis Seattle Seahawks (-4.5) in Santa Clara. FOX has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview

In this Sunday NFC matchup, Seattle is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 4.5 points. The Seahawks are also receiving -180 moneyline odds while the 49ers are +160. Should one squad can catch a lucky break early it’ll result in a reasonable betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points.

The profitable Seahawks are 8-3-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 3.5 units this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 6-7. The 49ers have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors so far, losing 8.2 units. They’re 4-9 ATS and have an O/U record of 7-6.

The Seahawks have gone 8-5 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against NFC West opponents. The 49ers are 3-10 SU overall and 0-4 SU against divisional foes.

The Seahawks are coming off a resounding 21-7 win over Minnesota in Week 14. The passing attack could’ve been sharper as Russell Wilson completed only 10-of-20 passes for 72 yards and one interception. Chris Carson (90 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the win while Tyler Lockett (five receptions, 42 yards) and Nick Vannett (one catch, 12 yards) shared the receiving duties.

San Francisco enters this one having just earned a 20-14 win over Denver in Week 14. The defense allowed the Broncos to rush for 103 yards on 27 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Tim Patrick had a good showing in the loss for Denver, recording 85 yards on seven catches. For San Francisco, Nick Mullens completed 20-of-33 passes for 332 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Jeff Wilson Jr. (90 rushing yards on 23 attempts) led the ground game in the win while George Kittle (seven receptions, 210 yards, one TD) and Dante Pettis (three catches, 49 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

Seattle has run the ball on 54.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Francisco has an overall rush percentage of 45.5 percent. The Seahawks have rushed for 154 yards per game (including 201 per game against West opponents) and have 10 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Niners are totaling 126 rush yards per game (107 in conference) and have six total rushing TDs.

The Seahawks offensive scheme has tallied 214 yards/game in the air overall (183 per game versus conference opposition) and has 29 passing TDs so far. The Niners have put up 265 pass yards per game (280.8 in the NFC) and have 22 total pass scores.

Defensively, Seattle has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 114 yards and pass for 262 yards per game. The San Francisco defense has given up 250.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 107.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Seahawks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.49 to opponents, while the Niners have given up a 7.29 ANY/A.

Offensively, Wilson is up to 2,603 passing yards this year, and has completed 66 percent of his 329 attempts with 25 passing scores and only six interceptions. Wilson’s got a 7.07 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.14 over the last two outings.

The Seahawks have tried to maintain the clock by feeding their running backs early and often. Chris Carson (725 rush yards, five rush TDs, 88 receiving yards) and Rashaad Penny (348 rush yards, one rush TD) have been big focal points in the Seattle offensive scheme.

Nick Mullens has completed 81-of-126 passes for 1,065 yards, seven TDs and five INTs for San Francisco. His ANY/A stands at 6.96 for the year and 7.83 over his past two games.

The Niners will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to George Kittle (1,033 receiving yards, four receiving TDs), Jeff Wilson Jr. (123 rush yards, 14 receiving yards) and Dante Pettis (234 receiving yards and three TDs) have gotten a lot of action recently.

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Seahawks offense has tallied 12 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the 49ers have put up 10 such plays.

The Seattle defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while San Francisco has given up eight such plays.

The Seattle offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while San Francisco has created 13 such runs.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the 49ers have given up eight such runs.

The Seattle defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 33 times this year. San Francisco has registered 31 sacks.

Seattle has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.4 over its last two.

San Francisco has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 2.8 over its past two.

Over its last three matches, San Francisco is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Seattle’s previous game was 45.5. The under cashed in the team’s 21-7 win over Minnesota.

Over its last three matchups, Seattle is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for San Francisco’s previous game going into it was 45.5. The under cashed in the 20-14 win over Denver.

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Written by GMS Previews

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