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Southern University Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets ATS Preview 01/28/19

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Southern University Jaguars (3-17, 2-5 SWAC) look to end their 14-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Alabama State Hornets (7-10, 5-1 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 28, 2019.

Southern University Jaguars at Alabama State Hornets Free Prediction

The Jaguars are hoping for a better outcome after their 68-62 loss to the Alabama A&M Bulldogs in their last outing. Alabama A&M’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Southern University. The Bulldogs had a rate of 30.0 (above their season average of 28.1), while the Jaguars posted a mark of 25.0 (below their season average of 32.1). Southern University’s Sidney Umude played well, recording 17 points and five rebounds.

In the Hornets’ last outing, they defeated the Alcorn State Braves, 74-59. The Hornets had a solid effective field goal percentage of 0.553 (above their season average of 0.476) and had a turnover percentage of 16.9 (better than their season average of 18.6). With 17 points and eight rebounds, Tobi Ewuosho had a good game for Alabama State.

It could be an error-filled game for the Alabama State offense. Alabama State ranks 313th in the country in ball protection (turnover percentage of 21.7 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Southern University forces the 89th-most turnovers in the nation (21.1 percent).

After the Jaguars won both meetings against the Hornets last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Southern University won 71-67. The Jaguars had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (39.5 vs. 22.9) and had a better turnover percentage (10.5 vs. 15.0).

Southern University Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets ATS Pick

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Alabama State, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Southern University ranks 39th in three pointers allowed per game (19.4) while Alabama State ranks 182nd (23.5).

The Hornets rank 151st in rebounds per game (35.5) while the Jaguars rank 267th (31.2).

Southern University ranks 115th in steals per game (6.5) while Alabama State ranks 173rd in steals allowed per game (7.4).

The Hornets average 3.6 blocks per game, which ranks 86th in the NCAA. The Jaguars rank 123rd in blocks allowed per game (3.6).

Southern University ranks 238th in assists per game (11.1) while Alabama State ranks 255th (10.5).

Bettings Trends:

The Jaguars have outscored opponents by an average of 1.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Southern University has lost by an average of 11.7 points.

During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 71.4 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (5.2 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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