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St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick 06/19/18

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are seeking their fourth win in a row as they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Midwest.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-115) is hosting this game as the favorite over St. Louis (+105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Runline odds stand at -200 for betting the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +170 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.

The Cardinals are 37-33 SU and are 33-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.0 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 38-32 SU and 31-39 ATS. The team’s gained 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 13.9 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have a 33-33-4 over/under record so far in 2018. The Cardinals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 28-38-4.

The right-handed Luke Weaver is projected to start for the visiting Cards. Weaver is 3-6 with a 4.52 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Vince Velasquez (5-7, 4.74 ERA), who has 89 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Velasquez is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.78, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .281/.376/.506 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Odubel Herrera has helped lead the Phillies’ offense this season with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.30 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.02 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.37, along with a K/9 of 8.67.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .244/.316/.396 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Jose Martinez has led St. Louis’ offense so far and is slashing .314/.381/.506 with 10 home runs, 42 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

The Phillies just snuck away with the previous game in this series by a final score of six runs to five.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in only one of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

The Cardinals have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.

St. Louis has posted 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.0 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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