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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview 07/04/18

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals are set to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. This NL matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

St. Louis (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog against Arizona (-135) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 48-38 straight up (SU) and 44-41 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.5 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Cardinals have gone 43-41 SU this year and are 41-42 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 7.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.0 units ATS.

Diamondbacks games have a 40-40-5 over/under record so far in 2018. The Cardinals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 35-44-4.

Right-hander Miles Mikolas is projected to start for the visiting Cardinals. Mikolas is 8-3 with a 2.61 ERA and 72 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the left hand of Patrick Corbin (6-3, 3.06 ERA), who’s got 134 strikeouts and 28 walks this season as well as a 0.98 WHIP. Corbin only made one start against the Cardinals in 2017 (0-0, 3.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has yielded 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.11 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.47, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 7.9.

The Arizona offense has put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .256/.311/.360 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ offense has been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is hitting .277/.385/.538 with 19 home runs, 48 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Peralta’s line sits at .282/.347/.506 with 15 homers, 46 RBIs and 37 runs.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.07, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 8.57.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .241/.315/.396 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

First baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna continue to lead St. Louis’ hitters. Martinez is hitting .298/.364/.491 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Ozuna (.277/.321/.406) has produced 10 homers, 44 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 4.2 units and are 10-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 0.3 units and are 29-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 27 that went under.

St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in just two of Arizona’s last seven games.

St. Louis has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.4 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit six over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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