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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview 07/03/18

Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be televising this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 9:40 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-145) is favored over St. Louis (+135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at -160 for taking the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +140 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.

The Cardinals have gone 43-40 SU this year and are 40-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.0 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 47-38 SU and 44-40 ATS. They’ve gained 8.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 39-40-5 so far in 2018. St. Louis has been a decent under bet with a total record of 34-44-4.

Jack Flaherty will get the start for St. Louis. The right-handed Flaherty is 3-3 with a 2.92 ERA and 73 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are sending righty Zack Greinke (8-5, 3.41 ERA) to the mound. Greinke has 108 strikeouts and 19 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Greinke is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.49, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 7.8.

The Arizona offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .278/.333/.361 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Outfielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the Diamondbacks’ batters this year. Peralta is hitting .283/.348/.510 with 15 home runs, 45 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line sits at .274/.384/.529 with 18 homers, 45 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .242/.315/.397 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez have paced St. Louis’ hitters. Ozuna is slashing .281/.325/.412 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Martinez is slashing .298/.366/.495 with 13 homers, 52 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 3.0 units and are 31-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.1 units and are 29-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 27 which went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

St. Louis has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. Arizona has 10 XBH over its last five.

Arizona has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit six over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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