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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick 09/18/18

Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves are trying to avoid dropping their fourth in a row when they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at SunTrust Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will televise this NL matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite against St. Louis (+130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Cardinals +1.5 runs (-170) and Braves -1.5 runs (+150).

The Braves are 83-67 straight up (SU) and 76-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.2 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have gone 83-68 SU this year and are 78-72 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 2.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.5 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Atlanta games have a 70-72-6 over/under record in 2018. The Cardinals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-75-6.

Austin Gomber is getting the start for the visiting Cardinals. Gomber is 5-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves are sending righty Anibal Sanchez (6-5, 3.01 ERA) to the mound. Sanchez has 118 strikeouts and 39 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.12. Sanchez has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.57, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.11 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.332/.357 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have paced the Braves’ offense this year. Markakis is slashing .307/.373/.457 with 14 home runs, 92 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and Freeman is hitting .304 with 22 homers, 89 RBIs and 91 runs.

In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 8.17.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .249/.323/.412 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez continue to lead St. Louis’ offense. Ozuna is slashing .281/.325/.439 with 22 home runs, 83 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Martinez is hitting .301/.360/.449 with 16 homers, 80 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

The Cardinals have gained 0.2 units and are 56-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 58 that’ve hit the under against y starters.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of St. Louis’ last seven games.

The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

Atlanta has averaged 22.4 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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