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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick 08/08/18

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest is in line to televise this NL showdown.

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Odds

Vegas has listed St. Louis (-135) as the favorite over Miami (+125). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +110 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -130 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Marlins are 59-55 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 47-67 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 1.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.1 units (ATS). The Cardinals are 58-55 SU and have gone 55-58 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS.

Miami games have a 58-54-2 over/under record in 2018. St. Louis has an over/under record of 53-56-4.

John Gant will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Gant (3-4, 4.12 ERA) has racked up 55 strikeouts in 63.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins are going with Trevor Richards (3-6, 3.92 ERA), who has 78 strikeouts and 36 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.39. Richards is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.

St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.54 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a K-per-9 of 8.36.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .249/.323/.402 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Marcell Ozuna and third baseman Matt Carpenter continue to lead St. Louis’ hitters. Ozuna is hitting .269/.314/.391 with 13 home runs, 59 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Carpenter has a .282 average with 29 homers, 61 RBIs and 74 runs scored.

For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.55 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.15 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Miami hitters have put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .199/.223/.335 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is hitting .289/.336/.408 with nine home runs, 41 RBIs and 64 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .288/.368/.420 with nine homers, 53 RBIs and 63 runs.

The Marlins have gained 4.1 units and are 41-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under.

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in five of Miami’s last seven games.

St. Louis has posted 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.6 over its last five.

Each team has hit eight home runs over its last 10 games.

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