St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-110) is the favorite against St. Louis (+100) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at nine runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -210 for the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +175 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Cardinals have gone 38-35 SU this year and are 35-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.0 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 44-30 SU and 41-32 ATS. They’ve gained 13.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 28-43-2 so far in 2018. St. Louis has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 29-39-4.
The right-handed Jack Flaherty is the probable starter for the visiting Cardinals. Flaherty (3-2, 2.66 ERA) has racked up 55 punchouts in 50.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Junior Guerra (3-5, 2.89 ERA), who’s got 67 strikeouts and 26 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Guerra is 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.79 ERA across two starts against St. Louis this year.
St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.42 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.97 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.27, along with a K/9 of 8.78.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .243/.316/.398 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna continue to lead St. Louis’ offense. Martinez is slashing .308/.376/.496 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 32 runs scored. Ozuna is hitting .279 with 10 homers, 40 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.89 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.79, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 10.6. In 32 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.48.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.317/.423 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .294/.392/.443 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 47 runs and 16 stolen bases, and Yelich’s line sits at .295/.370/.463 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 49 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Cardinals have lost 3.1 units and are 26-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 13.9 units and are 35-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 35 which went under the total.
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
St. Louis has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Milwaukee has 18 XBH over its last five.
The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games SU.
The St. Louis defense has allowed 13 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
The Cardinals have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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