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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick 09/04/18

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals will be taking on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this NL showdown.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (+105) is the home-team underdog against St. Louis (-115) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +130 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -150 for the Nationals +1.5.

The Nationals are 69-69 straight up (SU) and 63-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.3 units for moneyline bettors and 14.5 units (ATS). The Cardinals have gone 76-62 SU this year and are 72-65 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 4.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.6 units ATS.

Nationals games have a 61-73-3 over/under record in 2018. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 63-68-6.

Miles Mikolas will get the nod for St. Louis. The right-handed Mikolas is 13-4 with a 2.96 ERA and 117 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against Washington this year.

The Nationals are handing the ball to righty Erick Fedde (1-3, 5.79 ERA), who’s got 19 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.64. Fedde hasn’t faced the Cardinals yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.87 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The Washington hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .254/.345/.416 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals’ batters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .270/.337/.414 with 17 home runs, 57 RBIs, 84 runs and 35 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line sits at .293/.355/.498 with 18 homers, 66 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

For the visitors, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.34 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .250/.324/.411 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna have paced St. Louis’ hitters. Martinez is hitting .309/.369/.469 with 16 home runs, 77 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Ozuna (.270/.316/.402) is up to 16 homers, 69 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 3.3 units and are 50-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 53 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 7.7 units and are 49-51 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 54 that went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in five of Washington’s last seven games.

Washington has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.

Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 outings.

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Written by GMS Previews

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