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Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma State Cowboys: 10/6/2018 Free Betting Pick

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Iowa State Cyclones and No. 25 Oklahoma State Cowboys will collide on the turf at Boone Pickens Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to commence at 3:30 p.m. ET and ESPN2 will televise the action.

Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview

In this Saturday Big 12 matchup, Oklahoma State is getting picked as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 11 points. The Cyclones are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -450. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points, and if one side can find paydirt early on, it will likely result in a solid betting scenario in-game.

Sharp bettors are siding with both the Cowboys and the under. The line originally opened at -9 and the total was initially 54.5.

The Cyclones are down 2.0 units so far in 2018 and 2-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 1-3. The Cowboys have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 5.5 units. The team is 3-2 ATS and has an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Cyclones are a lousy 1-3 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Cowboys are 4-1 SU overall and are also 1-1 SU in conference play.

The Cyclones fell to TCU 17-14 in a nailbiter where the passing attack the primary culprit as Zeb Noland completed only 14 passes on 28 attempts for 79 yards and one touchdown. David Montgomery (101 yards on 21 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack. Deshaunte Jones (three receptions, 23 yards) and Hakeem Butler (two catches, 14 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Oklahoma State just got a 48-28 win over Kansas. Taylor Cornelius completed 15-of-20 passes for 312 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Justice Hill (189 rushing yards on 31 attempts, one TD) and Chuba Hubbard (57 yards on five carries, one TD) handled the running game as Landon Wolf (six receptions, 116 yards, one TD) and Tylan Wallace (four catches, 104 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.

Iowa State has run the ball on 47.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma State has an overall rush percentage of 55.5 percent. The Cyclones have produced 89 rush yards per game (including 103 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cowboys are logging 231 rushing yards per game (192 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

The Cyclones offensive scheme has logged 210 yards/game in the air overall (220 per game versus conference opposition) and has four passing scores so far. The Cowboys have recorded 314 pass yards per contest (285.0 against Big 12 foes) and have 13 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Iowa State should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 121 rush yards and 212 pass yards per game. The Oklahoma State defense has allowed 262.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 113.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cowboys are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.69 to opponents, while the Cyclones have given up a 6.79 ANY/A.

Offensively, Noland has amassed 482 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 43-of-74 attempts with three passing scores and one interception. He’s got a 6.03 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.14 over the last two outings.

Taylor Cornelius has completed 80-of-121 passes for 1,283 yards, 11 TDs and four INTs for Oklahoma State. His ANY/A stands at 9.88 for the year and 9.40 across his past two games.

When these two squads met last year, Oklahoma State won by a touchdown 49-42.

RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions

Betting Prediction: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

SU Winner – Iowa State, ATS Winner – Iowa State, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Cyclones offense has recorded two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cowboys have put up six such plays.

The Iowa State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Oklahoma State has given up zero such plays.

The Iowa State offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oklahoma State has created 13 such runs.

The Cyclones defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up six such runs.

The Oklahoma State defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 24 times this year. Iowa State has registered just six sacks.

Iowa State has rushed for 3.67391304347826 yards per attempt over its last three games and 4.0 over its last two.

Oklahoma State has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.5 over its past two.

In its last three games, Oklahoma State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Iowa State was favored by 12 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 45. The under cashed and Iowa State failed to cover in the 17-14 defeat to TCU.

In its last three games, Iowa State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Oklahoma State was the underdog by 17 points in its previous matchup and the Over/Under was set at 56. The over cashed and Oklahoma State covered in the team’s 48-28 win over Kansas.

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Written by GMS Previews

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