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Penn Quakers at Brown Bears Free Preview 03/03/18

Photo courtesy Greg Carroccio/Penn

The Brown Bears (11-15, 4-9 Ivy) and Penn Quakers (21-8, 11-2 Ivy) bring the regular season to a conclusion when they battle at Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center. The game gets underway at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 3, 2018.

Penn Quakers at Brown Bears Free Prediction

The last time the Quakers played, they were topped by the Yale Bulldogs, 80-79. Yale won the rebounding battle. The Bulldogs had 14 offensive rebounds and 41 total rebounds, while the Quakers had four and 27, respectively. Penn’s Darnell Foreman played well, putting up 21 points, seven assists and five rebounds.

The Bears lost to the Princeton Tigers in their last outing, 78-63. Princeton’s 0.536 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Brown, who had a rate of 0.371. The Tigers’ mark was below their season average of 0.541, while the Bears’ was below their season average of 0.485. With 17 points on 4-for-10 shooting, Obi Okolie led Brown in scoring.

The offense of Brown (212th in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 104.5) will face off against the elite defense of Penn (14th in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 95.2). The Quakers figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.

Penn is 21-8 straight up (SU), but they are just 10-13 against the spread (ATS). Of the Quakers’ 23 games with betting action, 14 have finished over the total.

Meanwhile, Brown is 11-15 SU and 9-8 ATS. Of the Bears’ 17 games that accepted bets, 9 have finished over the O/U total.

This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Bears lost 95-90 but covered as 9.5-point underdogs. Desmond Cambridge led both teams with 29 points. The game finished with a total of 185 points, which was 37 points above the projected point total of 148 points. Penn had a much better free throw rate (0.556 vs. 0.169). Brown, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.2 vs. 22.9).

Penn Quakers at Brown Bears Betting Pick

Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Brown, ATS Winner – Brown, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

Penn is 6-6 ATS on the road with 9 overs and 3 unders.

Brown is 3-3 ATS at home with 4 overs and 2 unders.

Penn ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (5.1) while Brown ranks 182nd (6.8).

The Quakers rank fourth in assists allowed per game (9.7) while the Bears rank 148th (13.5).

Brown averages 36.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 95th in the nation. Penn ranks 214th in rebounds allowed per game (36.4).

The Quakers rank 44th in three pointers attempted per game (25.7) while the Bears rank 157th (21.8).

Penn ranks 171st in blocks per game (2.7) while Brown ranks 194th in blocks allowed per game (4.6).

Bettings Trends:

In their last five games, Penn is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

Brown is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.

The Quakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.0, up from 7.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bears have scored an average of 66.8 points per game (9.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 74.2 points per game (4.0 below their season average).

Written by GMS Previews

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