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Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview 05/12/18

Rays vs Orioles
Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to Oriole Park in the 2 game of their divisional doubleheader. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are just 11-27 SU and 14-23 ATS. The team has lost 16.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Rays are 15-20 SU and have gone 18-16 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, but have gained 2.5 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 17-19-1 so far in 2018. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 17-15-2.

Matt Andriese will get the nod for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Andriese is 0-1 with a 3.92 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles will send righty Alex Cobb (0-4, 7.61 ERA) to the mound. Cobb has 11 strikeouts and six walks to his credit, as well as a 2.03 WHIP. Cobb is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.

Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.42, along with a K/9 of 8.91.

The Rays offense has slashed .263/.335/.397 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Tampa Bay’s offensive production been powered by second baseman Daniel Robertson and catcher Wilson Ramos. Robertson is slashing .289/.433/.470 with 24 hits, eight RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Ramos (.308/.357/.471) is up to 32 hits, four homers, 18 RBIs and 10 runs scored.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.71 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 13 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.95 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.21.

The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .292/.339/.544 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led the Orioles’ offense so far. Machado is hitting .354/.440/.667 with 12 home runs, 35 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Alvarez’s line is .200/.304/.488 with seven homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances.

The Rays have lost 4.5 units and are 9-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against righties.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Tampa Bay has posted 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.

The Rays have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 13 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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