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Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Free Preview 07/26/18

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays will head north to face their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the matchup. The first pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are 29-73 straight up (SU) and 41-61 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 39.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.8 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Rays have gone 52-50 SU this year and are 57-44 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.1 units ATS. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Baltimore games have a 41-57-4 over/under record in 2018. Tampa Bay has also been a good under bet with a total record of 43-55-3.

Hunter Wood will get the start for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Wood (0-0, 2.93 ERA) has recorded 14 strikeouts in 15.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles are preparing to start righty Alex Cobb (2-13, 6.17 ERA), who has 67 punchouts and 28 walks, as well as a 1.57 WHIP. Cobb is 0-2 with five strikeouts and a 6.97 ERA across two starts against Tampa Bay this year.

Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.76 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.64, along with a K-per-9 of 8.25.

The Rays offense has slashed .254/.326/.395 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron continue to lead Tampa Bay’s offense. Duffy is slashing .305/.359/.396 with four home runs, 28 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Cron is hitting .257 with 20 homers, 51 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.30, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 41 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 6.02 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.88.

Baltimore’s hitters have produced 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .260/.312/.457 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is slashing .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs, 48 runs and eight stolen bases, and the line for Jones stands at .277/.304/.422 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 39 runs.

The Rays have lost 1.2 units and are 37-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 33 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 18 XBH over its last five.

The Rays have won three of their last four games SU.

Baltimore has recorded 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.

The Rays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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