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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Free Pick 06/15/18

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will play host to their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Pix11 will broadcast the matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-165) as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+155). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -140 for the Rays +1.5 runs and +120 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Rays have gone 32-36 SU this year and are 36-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 3.9 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 44-20 SU and 35-28 ATS. The team has gained 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in all seven of them.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 31-29-3 so far in 2018. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 31-34-2.

Nathan Eovaldi will get the nod for the Rays. The right-handed Eovaldi (1-1, 3.94 ERA) has recorded 11 strikeouts in 16 innings so far. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees are hoping that Jonathan Loaisiga fares well against major-league batters. This game represents the first MLB start of the season for Loaisiga.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.92, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 12.1. In 25 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.21.

New York’s hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .216/.286/.418 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar have led the Yankees’ hitters this year. Judge is hitting .275/.396/.564 with 18 home runs, 46 RBIs and 46 runs scored, and Andujar is hitting .303 with eight homers, 28 RBIs and 30 runs.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.12 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.70, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

Rays hitters have slashed .254/.326/.393 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron continue to lead Tampa Bay’s offense. Duffy is hitting .316/.354/.425 with three home runs, 19 RBIs and 17 runs scored. Cron is hitting .247/.326/.463 with 15 homers, 36 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 2.8 units and are 25-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 13 XBH over its last five.

The Rays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 19 over their last 10.

Tampa Bay has averaged 19.0 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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