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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Free Pick

Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays will head north to play their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Fox Sports Sun will televise the matchup and the game will get going at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Odds

New York (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog to Tampa Bay (-145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Rays +1.5 runs (+150) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-160).

The Rays are 1-3 SU and have gone 4-0 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going, despite having gained 4.0 units ATS. The Yankees are 2-2 SU and 2-2 ATS. They’ve gained 0.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.9 units ATS.

Yankees games have had an over/under record of 1-3 in 2018. Rays games have gone under three times, gone over once and pushed on zero instances.

The Rays have gained 0.6 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, as opposed to one that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 1.0 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher.

Chris Archer (0-0, 6.00 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Archer recorded 249 strikeouts in 201 innings last year (with only 60 walks) but finished the season 10-12 overall with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP.

The Bronx Bombers are rolling with lefty Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 6.00 ERA) as their starter. Montgomery recorded 144 strikeouts across 155 innings last year (29 starts). Montgomery finished the season 9-7 overall with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. He made three starts against the Rays a year ago and put up a 1-1 record with a 4.72 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 1.31, a WHIP of 1.16 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 11.8. The bullpen has a 7.42 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 12.2 K/9. In four games against AL East foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 1.31 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.42.

The New York offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing so far this season and the team’s hit .209/.293/.433 to begin the year.

The Yankees’ batters have been led by Giancarlo Stanton and Brandon Drury. Stanton is slashing .286/.444/.857 with four hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, while Drury’s line is .385/.500/.692 with five hits, four RBIs and two runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .267/.317/.447, Drury appeared to enjoy facing righties at home last season, hitting .294/.374/.529 across 174 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 2.5 runs per game and its starters own a 2.84 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 5.21 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 1.59, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

Rays hitters have slashed .190/.266/.278 on their way to just 2.3 runs scored per game this year.

Third baseman Duffy Duffy and first baseman Brad Miller have led Tampa Bay’s offense. Duffy is hitting .375/.375/.438 with six hits and one RBI, while Miller is hitting .200/.333/.500 with two hits, two RBIs and two runs scored.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Yankees went 12-7 SU against the Rays last season.

The Rays’ bullpen posted an ERA of 3.23 against the Yankees last year.

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Written by GMS Previews

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