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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick 04/28/18

Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays will be facing off against their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The action will get going at 4:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising the game.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Tampa Bay (+187) as the underdog to Boston (-205). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 or the under for -105. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -115 for the Rays +1.5 runs and -105 for the Red Sox -1.5.

Rays vs Red Sox

The Rays are 11-13 SU and have gone 13-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.6 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having gained 3.6 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 19-6 SU and 13-11 ATS. The team’s gained 13.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.4 units ATS.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 13-10-1 so far in 2018. Tampa Bay has been a decent over bet with a total record of 16-7.

Yonny Chirinos will get the nod for the visiting Rays. Chirinos is 0-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox are preparing to start lefty David Price (2-2, 2.93 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and 10 walks, as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Price is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.56 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.90 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.79, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

Rays hitters have slashed .262/.337/.402 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).

Second baseman Daniel Robertson and second baseman Joey Wendle have led Tampa Bay’s hitters. Robertson is slashing .364/.507/.636 with 20 hits, seven RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Wendle is hitting .338 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 13 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.83, a WHIP of 1.09 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.13, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 9.2. In 17 games against AL East opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 2.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.14.

Boston’s offense has put up 5.6 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .216/.280/.339 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez have led the way for the Red Sox hitters this year. Betts is hitting .341/.433/.727 with eight home runs, 18 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Martinez’s line sits at .315/.357/.573 with five homers, 20 RBIs and 14 runs.

Martinez enjoyed batting at home last year, slashing .355/.439/.820 over 253 plate appearances (his total season line was .303/.376/.690).

The Rays have lost 1.9 units and are 6-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to three that’ve hit the under against y starters.

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in three of Boston’s last seven games.

Tampa Bay has recorded 29.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 33.0 over its last five.

Each team has hit 16 home runs over its last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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