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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 09/22/18

Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays are ready to face their division rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Sun will showcase the action.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Tampa Bay (-130) is favored over Toronto (+120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Rays -1.5 runs (+115) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-135).

The Blue Jays are 70-84 straight up (SU) and 68-85 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.6 units (ATS). Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rays are 86-67 SU and have gone 87-65 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 24.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 23.9 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Blue Jays games have a 78-66-9 over/under record in 2018. Tampa Bay has been a good under bet with a total record of 67-80-5.

Right-hander Tyler Glasnow is projected to start for the visiting Rays. Glasnow is 2-6 with a 4.22 ERA and 121 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 12.71 ERA against Toronto this year (two starts).

The Blue Jays are handing the ball to Thomas Pannone (3-1, 3.77 ERA), who’s got 21 strikeouts and nine walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.06. Pannone is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.13 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 71 games against divisional foes, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.39.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .222/.257/.455 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar have paced the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Smoak is slashing .246/.355/.465 with 25 home runs, 77 RBIs and 65 runs scored, and Pillar’s line is .247/.277/.418 with 14 homers, 56 RBIs, 61 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.61 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.64, along with a WHIP of 1.16.

The Rays offense has slashed .261/.337/.408 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joey Wendle continue to lead Tampa Bay’s offense. The speedy Duffy is slashing .299/.362/.372 with four home runs, 44 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Wendle (.302/.354/.439) is up to seven homers, 56 RBIs, 57 runs and 15 steals.

The Blue Jays have gained 11.2 units and are 47-56 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 54 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay has logged 22 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 17 XBH over its last five.

The Rays have won six of their last seven games SU.

Tampa Bay has recorded 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 33.0 over its last five.

The Rays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 15 over their last 10.

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