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Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Matchup 07/11/18

Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Rangers will be facing off against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will televise this AL matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Texas (+280) as the underdog to Boston (-355). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Rangers +1.5 runs (+140) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-160).

The Rangers are only 40-53 SU and are 44-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 64-29 SU and 55-37 ATS. They’ve gained 21.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 17.8 units ATS.

Boston games have an over/under record of 44-45-3 thus far in 2018. The Rangers have an over/under record of 40-45-7.

Bartolo Colon is getting the start for the visiting Rangers. The right-handed Colon (5-6, 4.65 ERA) has racked up 59 strikeouts in 100.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox will turn to lefty Chris Sale (9-4, 2.36 ERA), who has 176 punchouts and 30 walks to his name as well as a 0.89 WHIP. Sale is 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Texas this year.

Texas’ pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.31 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.69 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.60, along with a K-per-9 of 8.39.

Rangers hitters have slashed .237/.321/.396 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Texas’ offensive production has been sparked by Shin-soo Choo and Nomar Mazara. Choo is slashing .290/.399/.500 with 17 home runs, 42 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Mazara (.267/.330/.449) is up to 15 homers, 56 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the home team, Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.74, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.19, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.5.

The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 7.5 per game over its last 10 games and 9.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .365/.447/.580 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that span.

The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is slashing .331/.395/.651 with 28 home runs, 77 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Benintendi’s line is .298/.383/.523 with 14 homers, 57 RBIs, 67 runs and 17 steals.

The Rangers have lost 0.1 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 21.1 units and are 43-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 32 which went under the total.

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Boston’s last seven games.

The Rangers have dropped four of their last five games SU.

Boston has recorded 30.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 35.4 over its last five.

The Rangers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 12 over their last 10.

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