Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners Odds
The Rangers are 16-26 SU and are 16-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 14.2 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 23-17 SU and 24-16 ATS. The team has gained 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.1 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Seattle games have had an over/under record of 24-16 so far in 2018. Texas has an over/under record of 21-18-3.
Right-hander Bartolo Colon will get the nod for the visiting Rangers. Colon is 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 6.35 ERA against Seattle this year.
The Mariners are putting the ball in the hands of righty Christian Bergman (0-0, ERA), who has zero punchouts and zero walks, as well as a WHIP. Bergman has yet to face the Rangers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.89 ERA and three strikeouts across 9.1 innings).
Texas’ pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a K-per-9 of 8.33.
Rangers hitters have slashed .229/.300/.392 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Nomar Mazara and third baseman Adrian Beltre have led Texas’ offense. Mazara is slashing .284/.343/.523 with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Beltre has a .314 average with one homers, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .206/.276/.360 across 301 plate appearances, Mazara didn’t do as well batting on the road last season (compared to his overall season line of .253/.323/.422).
For the home team, Seattle’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.85, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 16 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.85 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.83.
The Seattle offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .282/.368/.463 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano have led the Mariners’ offense this year. Haniger is slashing .285/.373/.563 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Cano’s line sits at .287/.385/.441 with four homers, 23 RBIs and 24 runs.
Cano performed well against right-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .321/.393/.542 across 214 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .280/.338/.453).
The Mariners have gained 5.7 units and are 15-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to eight that’ve hit the under against righties.
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER
Texas has recorded 16.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.6 over its last five.
The Rangers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 10 over their last 10.
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